Coach on a Couch Fantasy Football Blog: Week 4

Alec Grimes

Week 3 Recap:

Andrew Luck IND, QB, had an impressive 79.4 percent completion rate last week as he missed on only 8 of his 39 pass attempts against the Jacksonville Jaguars. His 31 completions, which led all QBs in week 3, went for a total of 370 yards. Luck also added 4 touchdowns on the day, while managing to not throw a single interception. Luck will have a tougher time finding success this week since he faces a Titans defense that prevented him from throwing a TD, in either of their 2 matchups last season. Tennessee has only allowed an average of 170 passing yards per game, through 3 games this season. Prediction: 19 pts; 220 yds and 2 TDs

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Julio Jones ATL, WR, led all receivers in yards last week as he hauled in 9 passes for totaling 161 yards. Jones also found the end zone twice, with one of his TD catches coming on a spectacular over the shoulder catch. In his last 8 games, Jones has 64 catches for 945 yards and 5 TDs. This unbelievable stat line shows how reliable of a receiver this young playmaker can be. Jones is facing a Minnesota Vikings secondary that allowed the second most fantasy points to receivers last year. Prediction: 18 pts; 120 yds and 1 TD

Start Em’:

Colin Kaepernick SF, QB, has not started out as well as fantasy owners would like, but he has still thrown for over 200 yards and a touchdown each game. Kaepernick will look to get his game rolling against an undefeated Philadelphia Eagles team. The good news is Philly is not undefeated because of its pass defense, which has allowed the second most fantasy points to QBs this year. Prediction: 23 pts; 230 pass yds, 40 rush yds, and 2 TDs

Donald Brown SD, RB, should see a rather large workload this week due to fellow RBs, Ryan Mathews and Danny Woodhead, being scratched from the lineup due to injury. Brown faces a Jacksonville defense that has allowed a league worst 160 rush yards per game. The Jaguars have also allowed 5 different RBs to score double digit fantasy points this season. To top it all off, Brown had a touchdown in his lone meeting with Jacksonville last year. Prediction: 14 pts; 80 yds and 1 TD

Steve Smith Sr. BAL, WR, has additional motivation heading into a big matchup against his former team. Carolina, who released Smith during the offseason, gave up 2 TDs to Antonio Brown last week. Smith, who now has 18 receptions for 290 yds and 1 TD through 3 games, will look to have an inspired performance this week. Prediction: 15 pts; 90 yds and 1 TD

Sit Em’:

This may come as a bit of a surprise, but Tom Brady NE, QB, has had an uncharacteristic start to say the least. The New England offense has struggled and Brady has yet to throw for over 250 yds in a game. Brady has also been held to just 1 TD in each game. The Patriots are on the road this week against the Kansas City Chiefs, who forced Brady to throw 4 INTs, last time he was at Arrowhead Stadium in 2005. Prediction: 18 pts; 240 yds, 2 TDs, and 1 INT

Chris Johnson NYJ, RB, is averaging only 3.5 yards per carry, compared to teammate Chris Ivory’s 5.7 yards per carry. Due to Ivory’s higher production, Johnson will begin to see less action. The Jets face a stingy Lions defensive line that has allowed the sixth fewest fantasy points to RBs this year. Prediction: 4 pts; 30 rush yds and 10 rec yds

Eric Decker NYJ, WR, is entering the week with an aggravated hamstring injury. He left last week’s contest early, which brings up concern as to whether he will be able to finish this week. He also will be facing a Lions secondary that has allowed the second fewest fantasy points to receivers. Prediction: 6 pts; 60 yds

Top Players By Position:

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QB:

Drew Brees, NO: Faces a Cowboys defense that allowed the second most fantasy points to QBs last season. Prediction: 28 pts; 320 yds and 3 TDs

Philip Rivers, SD: Matches up well against a Jaguars defense that has already surrendered 1,000 passing yards this season. Prediction: 27 pts; 300 yds and 3 TDs

Aaron Rodgers, GB: Is focused on his key division matchup against the Chicago Bears, who have a depleted secondary due to injuries. Prediction: 20 pts; 240 yds and 2 TDs

RB:

Le’Veon Bell, PIT: Faces a Bucs defense that gave up a whopping 56 points a week ago. Prediction: 19 pts; 100 rush yds, 30 rec yds, and 1 TD

DeMarco Murray, DAL: Has rushed for 100 yds and 1 TD in each of his 3 games, expect more of the same. Prediction: 16 pts; 100 yds and 1 TD

Matt Forte, CHI: Should find success against a Green Bay defense that has allowed the fifth most fantasy points to RBs. Forte will rack up the yards, both rushing and receiving. Prediction: 16 pts; 70 rush yds, 30 rec yds, and 1 TD

WR:

Calvin Johnson, DET: Is listed as questionable, but assuming he plays he will have a field day against a Jets secondary that has allowed the fourth most fantasy points to receivers. Prediction: 16 pts; 100 yds and 1 TD

Jordy Nelson, GB: Will connect well with Rodgers against a severely injured Chicago defense. Prediction: 15 pts; 90 yds and 1 TD

Dez Bryant, DAL: Has 15 TDs in his last 19 games, which makes him a safe bet to score another this week. Prediction: 15 pts; 90 yds and 1 TD

Week 4 Bye: Arizona, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Denver, Seattle, St. Louis

Injury Report:

Out: Matt Schuab QB, OAK, Robert Griffin III QB, WAS, Mark Ingram RB, NO, Knowshon Moreno RB, MIA, Kyle Rudolph TE, MIN, Ryan Mathews RB, SD, (IR) Dennis Pitta TE, BAL, (IR) Matt Cassel QB, MIN

Questionable: Brandon Marshall WR, CHI, Calvin Johnson WR, DET, Arian Foster RB, HOU, Jamaal Charles RB, KC, Rob Gronkowski TE, NE, Eric Decker WR, NYJ, Vernon Davis TE, SF

Probable: Roddy White WR, ATL, Bernard Pierce RB, BAL, DeAngelo Williams RB, CAR, Tony Romo QB, DAL, Dez Bryant WR, DAL, Joique Bell RB, DET, Andre Johnson WR, HOU, Mike Wallace WR, MIA, Ben Roethlisberger QB, PIT, Keenan Allen WR, SD, Antonio Gates TE, SD, Michael Crabtree WR, SF, Doug Martin RB, TB, Vincent Jackson WR, TB, DeSean Jackson WR, WAS

Collegian Sports Reporter Alec Grimes can be reached at sports@collegian.com and on Twitter @GrimesAlec.